Global Warming

We’re Doomed (Again)

This article from Science Blog suggests that “human-induced climate changes” will affect tectonic plate activity. In the excerpt below, the authors frantically suggest that we will be experiencing unprecedented plate movement as a result of the evils of men:

The erosion caused by rainfall directly affects the movement of continental plates beneath mountain ranges, says a University of Toronto geophysicist — the first time science has raised the possibility that human-induced climate change could affect the deep workings of the planet.

From that description, one might expect that Earth may soon experience alternating earthquakes and hurricanes as mankind continues to cause devastation to the planet.

The article continues with more about the professor conducting the computer models:

“In geology, we have this idea that erosion’s going to affect merely the surface,” says Russell Pysklywec, a professor of geology who creates computer models where he can control how a range of natural processes can create and modify mountains over millions of years. Pysklywec conducts field research in the Southern Alps of New Zealand, where the mountains are high and geologically “young.” He found that when mountains are exposed to New Zealand-type rainfall (which causes one centimetre of erosion per year) compared to southern California-type rainfall (which erodes one-tenth of a centimetre or less), it profoundly changes the behaviour of the tectonic plates beneath the mountains. “These are tiny, tiny changes on the surface, but integrating them over geologic time scales affects the roots of the mountains, as opposed to just the top of them,” says Pysklywec. “It goes right down to the mantle thermal engine — the thing that’s actually driving plate tectonics. It’s fairly surprising — it hasn’t been shown before.”

Wait! Did he say “geologic time scales?” You mean this is going to take some time?

“As a concept, imagine blanketing the European Alps with a huge network of ordinary garden sprinklers. The results suggest that the subtle surface weathering caused by the light watering have the potential to shift the tectonic plates, although you would have to keep the water on for several million years.”

At this rate, we’re doomed to destroy our planet just in time for the Sun to blow up.

You may read the entire article: Climate change could affect tectonic plates

Also see Science Daily and the University of Toronto

Global Warming takes a Break

More and more evidence surfaces about the true nature of global warming. Real scientists looking at the hard evidence of the phenomenon, realize that claims of man-made greenhouse gasses causing warming are false.

Right: Current SOHO Sunspot Image.

Professor Bob Carter, a geologist at James Cook University, Queensland, who is engaged in paleoclimate research, wrote this excellent article addressing the “Man-made global warming” myth:

There IS a problem with global warming… it stopped in 1998

For many years now, human-caused climate change has been viewed as a large and urgent problem. In truth, however, the biggest part of the problem is neither environmental nor scientific, but a self-created political fiasco. Consider the simple fact, drawn from the official temperature records of the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, that for the years 1998-2005 global average temperature did not increase (there was actually a slight decrease, though not at a rate that differs significantly from zero).
Yes, you did read that right. And also, yes, this eight-year period of temperature stasis did coincide with society’s continued power station and SUV-inspired pumping of yet more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

[read more]

More Climate Hype Debunked

World Climate Report takes on the non-scientific hype being put out by climatological extremists in this very good article:

World Climate Report » No News is Bad News

There is not much new in a collection of articles about global warming and sea level rise in the latest issue of Science. As such, it is mostly recycled and repackaged information that the head of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), Donald Kennedy, can take down from New York Avenue in DC to Capitol Hill, to scare politicians into doing what it wants, which is an immediate cap on U.S. emissions of carbon dioxide.

Never mind that even a 25% reduction will have an undetectable effect on the rate of global temperature rise in the foreseeable future, and that it will cost a lot. Science crammed its March 24th issue with five articles (including commentary and editorials) devoted to melting ice and sea level rise—including one (Overpeck et al., 2006) which proclaims “[I]t is highly likely that the ice sheet changes described in this paper [leading to an—egad—global sea level a rise of 12-18 feet] could be avoided if humans were to significantly reduce emissions early in the current century” is hardly surprising.

[read more]

Fireball Global Warming Theory

Now, this is an interesting take on what might be causing temperatures to rise on Earth. A Russian scientist disputes that fossil fuel emissions are responsible for the increase of greenhouse gasses, while making claims that the Tunguska Event that occurred over Siberia in 1908 stripped the upper atmosphere of ice crystals and is the cause for recent warming.

Excerpt from Science Blog:

Russian blames global warming on 1908 Tunguska Event

A new theory to explain global warming was revealed at a meeting at the University of Leicester (UK) and is being considered for publication in the journal “Science First Hand”. The controversial theory has nothing to do with burning fossil fuels and atmospheric carbon dioxide levels. According to Vladimir Shaidurov of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the apparent rise in average global temperature recorded by scientists over the last hundred years or so could be due to atmospheric changes that are not connected to human emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of natural gas and oil. Shaidurov explained how changes in the amount of ice crystals at high altitude could damage the layer of thin, high altitude clouds found in the mesosphere that reduce the amount of warming solar radiation reaching the earth’s surface.

Image: Tunguska Fireball – www.espacial.org

Shaidurov has used a detailed analysis of the mean temperature change by year for the last 140 years and explains that there was a slight decrease in temperature until the early twentieth century. This flies in the face of current global warming theories that blame a rise in temperature on rising carbon dioxide emissions since the start of the industrial revolution. Shaidurov, however, suggests that the rise, which began between 1906 and 1909, could have had a very different cause, which he believes was the massive Tunguska Event, which rocked a remote part of Siberia, northwest of Lake Baikal on the 30th June 1908.

[ . . . ]

The most powerful greenhouse gas in the atmosphere is water vapour, [Shaidurov] says, “Human activities have little direct control over its atmospheric abundance, which is controlled instead by the worldwide balance between evaporation from the oceans and precipitation.”

[read more]

Of course, the cycle of precipitation and evaporation largely is influenced by the Sun. While I agree with the good doctor’s analysis that fossil fuel has little to do with global climate, I respectfully submit that noctilucent ice is widely evident in the atmosphere today; moreover, should ice have been displaced in 1908, it would have had plenty of time to reconstitute in 98 years’ time. Yet, this is an interesting concept, and generates both insights and questions.

Solar and Terrestrial Conveyor Belts

We previously posted the prediction of the next solar maximum in this article. Now, another article from NASA on essentially the same topic offers a different twist; the notion of similarities between the terrestrial ocean “conveyor belt” and a conveyor belt phenomenon postulated to occur in the solar interior are considered in the article:

NASA – Solar Storm Warning

It’s official: Solar minimum has arrived. Sunspots have all but vanished. Solar flares are nonexistent. The sun is utterly quiet.

Like the quiet before a storm.

[more]

In the article, they refer to the “ocean conveyor belt” which is an attribute of ocean circulation patterns. These patterns can alter the climate in certain areas . For example, the Gulf Stream portion of the “conveyor” keeps Northwestern Europe more temperate than normal for a high-latitude area. Likewise, Hawaii is cooler than many 20th latitude tropical areas due to the California Current, another segment of the “belt.” Left: Illustration of ocean circulation “conveyor belt” – NASA

The article describes the solar circulation pattern a bit more:

The sun’s conveyor belt is a current, not of water, but of electrically-conducting gas. It flows in a loop from the sun’s equator to the poles and back again. Just as the Great Ocean Conveyor Belt controls weather on Earth, this solar conveyor belt controls weather on the sun. Specifically, it controls the sunspot cycle.

[ . . . ]

The top of the conveyor belt skims the surface of the sun, sweeping up the magnetic fields of old, dead sunspots. The ‘corpses’ are dragged down at the poles to a depth of 200,000 km where the sun’s magnetic dynamo can amplify them. Once the corpses (magnetic knots) are reincarnated (amplified), they become buoyant and float back to the surface. Presto — new sunspots!

I think the comparison between the solar circulation and Earth’s ocean circulation is interesting, but the circulation of solar plasma is probably more analogous to the triple-cell atmospheric circulation model here on Earth, where there is lateral motion due to the rotation of the planet and Coriolis forces. Since the sun is effectively gaseous (albeit dense), the same sorts of forces should be in effect.

Left: Triple circulation cell illustration – WikiPedia

Don’t forget that both conveyor belts on Earth are driven by the energy of the Sun. The added insight into the Sun’s most complex workings will continue to benefit mankind. As solar research continues and we learn even more about the Sun, it will better enable us to prepare for the terrestrial effects of solar activity, whether it be for colder or warmer.

Ultimate Global Warming
SPF 2 Million Won’t Be Enough

Why Solar fusion activity is the primary 
mechanism for climate change on Earth

Know Thy Star

The Sun is a star — a main sequence star whose business is to fuse hydrogen atoms into helium atoms. Fusion is a steady but somewhat unstable and potentially violent thermonuclear process. During fusion, solar mass, heat and pressure force hydrogen atoms to combine to become helium atoms. This transformation of atomic states produces energy in the form of multispectral photons (visible light, heat, x-rays, ultra-violet, cosmic rays, magnetic flux, radio-frequency emissions and more). We all know the effects of UV on skin disease, and lately, the effects of magnetic flux on the electrical grid. The Sun, like fire, can be good and bad.

One day, far in the future, the Sun will run out of hydrogen to fuse and will become a red giant star as it attempts to fuse it’s residual helium into even heavier elements – but since it is a relatively small star, it falls short of the mass and energy needed to do so. The Sun will gradually expand to an unsustainable maximum where it suddenly collapses, and then goes nova, literally exploding its outer shell into space while its high-density core remains and will become a white dwarf star. The explosion and collapse will occur in about five billion years. In the meantime, the Sun will continue its steady fusion process and occasional chaotic behavior, which (as meteorologists and stockbrokers know) cannot accurately be predicted.

Yogi Berra’s Law: “You can observe a lot just by watching.”

Over the last four hundred years, astronomers and others have recorded their observations of the Sun; they observed a phenomenon known as “sunspots” and jotted down when they saw them, how many there were and how big, of course. Galileo, among other observers, often drew sketches of the solar disc depicting sunspot orientation. The historical records from this period are quite compelling.

Image: A sketch of the sun made by Galileo in June 1613 (NASA).

And those records appear in the graphic below (courtesy NASA) along with subsequent observations. You should notice that the number of sunspots (which corresponds to the intensity of solar activity) shrinks and grows over an eleven year (or so) cycle. Some cycles have greater intensity than others. You should also notice a gap in this behavior where the graphic is labeled “Maunder Minimum,” during the years (approximately) between 1645 and 1715. During that 70 year period, less than one sunspot per year (on average) was observed. During that same period, the Earth experienced what is called the “Little Ice Age” where winters were bitterly cold.

Let’s review:

  1. when there are many sunspots, the planet is warmer
  2. when there are few sunspots, the planet is colder
  3. recent discoveries indicate that the oceans were much warmer in the prehistoric past and that greenhouse gasses were abundant
  4. there is ample evidence that prehistoric glaciation and ice ages occurred

Science makes a lot of assumptions based on observations. Maybe it’s the things we can’t observe that makes the Sun behave the way it does. There is evidence that the Sun’s rate of rotation oscillates over time, its magnetic fields wander and vary in strength, and of course has occasional Coronal Mass Ejections (prominences). The Sun may actually be, to a somewhat lesser degree than most, a variable star; some variables’ light and radiation fluctuate by 100 to 1 over short periods of time (months or years our time). Were the Sun to be in that category, however, it is doubtful that there would be any life on Earth. The following images in ultraviolet light clearly illustrate the contrasts in solar activity from the last sunspot cycle in the run up to maximum (courtesy SOHO):

Conclusions:

  1. global climate is influenced primarily by the Sun
  2. greenhouse gasses would be evident without man’s puny influence during solar maximums, as was proven to have been the case eons in the past
  3. political pressure has been exercised over certain unscrupulous elements in the scientific community to manipulate data to get an inaccurate conclusion for political advantage

One more thing – the Antarctic Ozone Hole gets larger in the antarctic spring and smaller in the antarctic fall. Sunshine opens the hole, darkness closes it. The hole also grows and shrinks in direct proportion to the number of sunspots. No surprise here is there? Could the “chlorofluorocarbon emissions cause atmospheric ozone depletion” meme also be a myth?

Global Warming doomsayers ought to re-think what really affects the climate and stop beating their broken drum. Do the numbers and have a closer look at our stellar companion, the greatest of all climatological influences, the giver of life, and, ultimately the taker as well.

Reference for Maunder Minimum data: Wikipedia – Maunder Minimum

UPDATE: Read more about Correlating Sunspots to Global Climate in a subsequent article.

Global Warming – a Hot Topic

Global Warming is always a hot topic since the left often uses the phenomenon to try and leverage their obstructive agenda. They generally attempt to blame the industry of mankind in general, and the United States in particular, for the “horrible” consequences of global warming.

The left embraces the Kyoto Accord, an international treaty whereby countries agree to reduce the amount of greenhouse gases by imposing restrictive laws and higher taxes. The United States is not signatory to the treaty, largely because it is based on the faulty premise that greenhouse gasses emitted by industry is the major contributing factor to global warming; in fact, chaotic solar activity has more to do with the climate on our planet than any other factors. Why should we sign up for a useless effort and penalize our industry and economy?

Volcanoes, range and forest fires and infrequent caldera activity have had temporary effects, but are not comparable to the major contributor, the Sun. And these terrestrial occurrences are much more consequential than anything our emissions can contribute (short of global thermonuclear war).

Thinking that the minor contribution of industrial emissions can compare with the influence of solar magnetic flux, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), x-ray flares, solar wind and other solar phenomena is like thinking that a mouse can single-handedly whip a herd of pachyderms. Complete nonsense.

Now, it seems that Old Sol is busily fusing hydrogen into helium, recharging his batteries, and resting up for yet another period of intense activity that is certain to result in a major assault on our planet’s climate. From Science Blog

Scientists Gaze Inside Sun, Predict the Next Solar Cycle

The next solar activity cycle will be 30 to 50 percent stronger than the previous one, and up to a year late in arriving . . .

[ . . . ]

The sun goes through a roughly 11-year cycle of activity, from stormy to quiet and back again. Predicting the sun’s cycles accurately years in advance will help societies plan for active bouts of solar storms, which can disrupt satellite orbits and electronics, interfere with radio communication, and damage power systems. The forecast is important for NASA’s long-term Vision for Space Exploration plans, since solar storms can be hazardous to unprotected astronauts as well.

[ . . . ]

We are currently back in the quiet period for the current cycle (cycle 23). The next cycle will begin with a rise in solar activity in late 2007 or early 2008, according to the team, and there will be 30 to 50 percent more sunspots, flares, and CMEs in cycle 24. This is about one year later than the prediction using previous methods, which rely on statistics, like the strength of the large-scale solar magnetic field and the number of sunspots, to make estimates for the next cycle.

[Read the whole story]

Images credit SOHO

Uh oh! The gulf coast and other hurricane-prone areas had better start building the Mother of All Levees.

For additional reading, see our entire collection of global warming articles.