A report published on Friday, 2/21, in Investors Business Daily points to the relative accuracy of the venerable old publication, Farmer’s Almanac, to have beaten NOAA climate models. Yes, beaten the government supercomputers barely able to forecast the past, by accurately predicting this winter’s bitter cold throughout most of the nation using traditional methods of looking at sunspots, tides, planetary and lunar positions in order to derive their long-range predictions.
Farmers’ Almanac More Reliable Than Warming Climate Models
Bad Science: It turns out that a 200-year-old publication for farmers beats climate-change scientists in predicting this year’s harsh winter as the lowly caterpillar beats supercomputers that can’t even predict the past.
Last fall, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) predicted above-normal temperatures from November through January across much of the continental U.S. The Farmers’ Almanac, first published in 1818, predicted a bitterly cold, snowy winter.
The Maine-based Farmers’ Almanac’s still-secret methodology includes variables such as planetary positions, sunspots, lunar cycles and tidal action. It claims an 80% accuracy rate, surely better than those who obsess over fossil fuels and CO2.
The winter has stayed cold in 2014, and snowfall and snow cover are way above average. USA Today reported on Feb. 14 that there was snow on the ground in part of every state except Florida. That includes Hawaii.
Read the entire article here.
Winter has been a bitch in the Eastern U.S., but it has been warm and dry out in the West. The Farmer’s Almanac has predicted such this year, and has beaten all the local prognosticators.
Time, perhaps, to introduce the people of the PDRK to the wonders of Opuntia ficus-indica?
With the drought this year, perhaps the PDRK should encourage xeriscape crops like the opuntias.
Damsel’s beaver tail cacti are all going to have flowers opening soon as we continue to enjoy our 70° days with mild nights.